lundi 24 octobre 2011

The Hole in Europe’s Bucket

[The New York Times]

Paul Krugman, économiste américain, a obtenu le « prix Nobel d'économie » 2008 pour avoir montré « les effets des économies d'échelle sur les modèles du commerce international et la localisation de l'activité économique ». Il tient une tribune depuis 2000 dans le New York Times ce qui lui a permis de devenir un « faiseur d'opinion ».

If it weren’t so tragic, the current European crisis would be funny, in a gallows-humor sort of way. For as one rescue plan after another falls flat, Europe’s Very Serious People — who are, if such a thing is possible, even more pompous and self-regarding than their American counterparts — just keep looking more and more ridiculous.
I’ll get to the tragedy in a minute. First, let’s talk about the pratfalls, which have lately had me humming the old children’s song “There’s a Hole in My Bucket.” For those not familiar with the song, it concerns a lazy farmer who complains about said hole and is told by his wife to fix it. Each action she suggests, however, turns out to require a prior action, and, eventually, she tells him to draw some water from the well. “But there’s a hole in my bucket, dear Liza, dear Liza.” What does this have to do with Europe?
Well, at this point, Greece, where the crisis began, is no more than a grim sideshow. The clear and present danger comes instead from a sort of bank run on Italy, the euro area’s third-largest economy. Investors, fearing a possible default, are demanding high interest rates on Italian debt. And these high interest rates, by raising the burden of debt service, make default more likely.

Lire : nytimes.com
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