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| Infographie : F. Descheemaekere |
US intelligence mulls three scenarios for EU in 2030
[Euractiv]
Europe will not disintegrate and will remain a great power in 2030, but the key question is whether the EU will punch its collective weight in the future, says a recent US intelligence report which draws three possible scenarios for the Union – decline, collapse or renaissance.
The 160-page report published on 7 December by the US National Intelligence Council is called “Global trends 2030: Alternative worlds”. The stakes are high both politically and economically for Europe and the EU’s future is “very uncertain”. “Although there is no consensus on the region’s future shape or role, our experts agree that it will not resemble today’s Europe,” reads the report of the NIC, which provides long-term strategic planning for the American intelligence community. […] Beginning in 2010, EU leaders have been introducing reforms and new instruments to address the eurozone crisis, but more integration probably will be required to overcome the debt crisis and address structural problems, the authors write. According to the report, a genuine “leap forward” in integration would imply massive transfers of sovereignty to central authorities, with the accompanying loss of autonomy which is increasingly unpopular with European publics.
Three scenarios are outlined for Europe and its international role in 2030.
Lire : euractiv.com
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